Crowdsignal
A consumer-friendly app that surfaces what prediction markets are pricing in on major events (elections, sports, awards) without requiring users to fund a crypto wallet, like a Bloomberg terminal for the wisdom of crowds.
News-oriented consumers who want prediction market signals without trading risk
- Daily what-markets-are-saying briefing on the top world events driving movement
- AI explainer that walks through why each market is priced where it is, in plain English
- Side-by-side comparison of prediction market prices vs. expert polls vs. media narratives
- Personal watchlist with push alerts when any tracked probability shifts by more than 5 points
Polymarket broke into the mainstream during the 2024 US election; many curious people want the signal without the trading risk, KYC, or crypto UX.
Polymarket's 2024 election breakout drove prediction-market monthly volume from <$100M to >$13B by end-2025 (100x), and Meta is now internally building 'Arena' — a near-identical signal-only app — strongly validating that non-trader consumer demand exists.How Prediction Markets Are Becoming Financial Infrastructure ↗Meta Building Prediction Market App That Wouldn't Wager Money ↗
Meta's internally-built 'Arena' app (June 2026 NYT/Bloomberg) is a direct, well-funded competitor targeting the exact same no-wager signal consumer niche, drastically narrowing the open market even though it is not yet shipped.Mark Zuckerberg Directed Meta to Create a Prediction Markets App ↗Zuckerberg pushes Meta into prediction markets with Arena ↗
Polymarket/Kalshi APIs exist as paid data feeds but consumer news subscriptions historically convert <2%, and no direct WTP evidence for a prediction-signal-only consumer app was found; freemium/ads likely required.Best Polymarket Alternatives for Crypto Prediction Markets ↗The Current State of Prediction Markets ↗
Prediction markets are now described by Forbes as becoming 'financial infrastructure' with regulatory clarity (CFTC-licensed Kalshi) and a friendly Washington stance, pointing to multi-year tailwinds rather than a fad.How Prediction Markets Are Becoming Financial Infrastructure ↗Wealthsimple, Kalshi to Launch Prediction Markets App in Canada ↗
Public prediction-market data (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt) is readily scrapable/feedable; no wallet, KYC, or money-transmission license is needed for a read-only consumer app — but it depends on upstream ToS and data freshness.Polymarket Alternatives and Competitors ↗Prediction Market Monitor ↗