KoalitionsKompass
An AI coalition simulator for German state elections: tap any federal-state poll like the new Sachsen-Anhalt numbers and instantly see which coalitions are mathematically possible, with seat-by-seat parliament visualization.
Politically engaged German voters and political journalists covering Landtagswahlen
- Live poll-to-parliament projection that updates as new infratest dimap and Forsa numbers drop
- Coalition math explorer: toggle any combination of parties and see if a stable majority exists, with the likely Ministerpräsident
- Scenario save/share: send a friend a 'what if Grüne barely make 5%' link with the visual outcome
- Coalition history layer: every prior Landtag coalition in that state's history, with outcomes and what changed
With the AfD at 41% in Sachsen-Anhalt and the Greens potentially crossing the 5% threshold to deny it a majority, German voters and journalists need fast, visual coalition math — and it has to be specific to state electoral systems.
Sachsen-Anhalt election confirmed for 6 Sept 2026 and AfD-lead polls (e.g. n-tv citing 41%) drive clear interest; however existing tools already serve this demand (n-tv/koalitions-rechner.de covered it in news).Das sagt der Koalitionsrechner zur Wahl in Sachsen-Anhalt ↗Landtagswahl in Sachsen-Anhalt 2026 - Wikipedia ↗
Market is crowded with at least 4 free coalition calculators already covering Sachsen-Anhalt + all 16 Landtage: koalitions-rechner.de, politpro.eu, bundestagwahlumfrage.de, nowcast-eu — all implementing Sainte-Laguë/Schepers with 5% threshold and live dawum.de polls.Koalitionsrechner Bundestag 2025 — Sitzverteilung & Koalitionen ↗Koalitionsrechner Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt | Mehrheiten & Bündnisse ↗Koalitionsrechner — Koalitionen simulieren ↗
Leading incumbents (koalitions-rechner.de, politpro.eu) are free, ad-free, no-login; charging for essentially the same math in a saturated market is very difficult — typical political data tools monetize via B2B/newsroom APIs, not consumer subscriptions.Koalitionsrechner Bundestag 2025 — Sitzverteilung & Koalitionen ↗Koalitionsrechner Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt | Mehrheiten & Bündnisse ↗
Demand is election-cyclical and spiky: a strong Sept-2026 window (SA + MV + Berlin) but then a quieter period until the next Landtagswahlen and 2029 Bundestagswahl; underlying data sources (dawum.de) are durable.Wahltermine 2026: Alle Landtags- & Kommunalwahlen in Deutschland ↗
Trivially buildable — Sainte-Laguë/Schepers math is well-documented, dawum.de provides open poll data, and existing tools prove an MVP can ship in days; main work is UI/visualization, not engineering risk.Koalitionsrechner Bundestag 2025 — Sitzverteilung & Koalitionen ↗