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6/10

DryPowder

A personal dashboard that turns the Buffett Indicator, Shiller P/E, and other valuation gauges into a single cash-allocation recommendation for self-directed investors.

Target user

self-directed retail investors with $50k-$2M who follow macro commentary but don't run quant strategies

Features
  • Live Buffett Indicator, Shiller CAPE, and six other valuation gauges on one traffic-light dashboard
  • Personalized cash-reserve target percentage based on age, goals, and current signals
  • Historical playback showing what would have happened if you had followed the signals in 2000, 2008, and 2020
  • Weekly plain-English summary with a single recommended rebalancing action
Why now

Berkshire's $397B cash pile plus 232% Buffett Indicator and 41% Shiller P/E are saturating retail-investor feeds, and most readers want to know what to actually do this month.

Signals · overall 6/10
Demand
6/10

Multiple valuation dashboards actively shipping in 2025 (buffettindicators.com, macroradar.io, marketcalculator.net, stockdoz.com) plus a dedicated Buffett Indicator iOS app from LuLu Ventures; HN thread 'Berkshire's $397B Bet' confirms retail macro chatter, but no hard waitlist/sales numbers.Buffett Indicators — US Stock Market Valuation DashboardMarket Valuation Charts — Buffett Indicator, Shiller PE, Dividend Yield

Whitespace
3/10

Market is crowded: dedicated Buffett iOS app ($6.98), free web dashboards, plus broader platforms Koyfin, MacroMicro, PortfolioPilot and Passiv that already cover valuation gauges for self-directed investors; the 'cash allocation recommendation' angle is the differentiator but not unique.Buffett Indicator App - App StoreStockDoz — Stock Market Indicators DashboardAI Financial Advisor for Smarter Investing | PortfolioPilot

Monetization
5/10

Comparable pricing is low: Buffett Indicator iOS app is a one-time S$6.98; Passiv/Koyfin/PortfolioPilot use freemium SaaS in the $10-30/mo range. Willingness to pay for a single-purpose allocation tool is real but price ceiling is modest, and 'allocation recommendation' bumps into investment-advice compliance risk that raises CAC.Buffett Indicator App - App StorePricing | Passiv

Longevity
6/10

Valuation gauges (Buffett Indicator, Shiller CAPE) are evergreen inputs and have been tracked for decades, so the data layer is durable; however urgency/economic value collapses the moment valuations mean-revert below ~180%, making demand regime-dependent.Stock Market Cycle Tracker | Real-Time Valuation Dashboard

Feasibility
8/10

Trivial data plumbing (Wilshire 5000, FRED GDP, Shiller series are free public sources) plus a static rules engine mapping indicator bands to cash% is a weekend build; web + PWA is sufficient and the iOS app proves a 24.6 MB ship is achievable.Buffett Indicator App - App Store

Berkshire's $397B Bet Against an Overheated Market · 68 points · 62 commentsHacker News · 2026-07-13 (11d ago)