RefineryWatch
A real-time dashboard for energy traders and analysts that catalogs attacks on oil and gas infrastructure worldwide, maps them to affected facilities, and correlates them with downstream commodity price moves.
energy commodity traders and analysts monitoring geopolitical disruptions to global fuel supply
- Live incident log with facility, capacity damaged, and source attribution for each attack
- Commodity impact panel correlating incident dates with gasoline, diesel, and crude price moves and spread changes
- Custom alerts by region, facility, or commodity with threshold triggers
- Historical incident-to-price lag analysis so users can see how long supply shocks take to reach spot prices
A series of escalating strikes on Russian refineries is deepening a measurable nationwide fuel shortage, and traders need a faster signal than waiting for Bloomberg headlines.
Documented Russian fuel crisis (2025-2026 Wikipedia entry), Carnegie/BBC/Forbes confirm widespread refinery damage and fuel shortages, indicating real trader need for faster-than-Bloomberg signals.2025-2026 Russian fuel crisis - Wikipedia ↗Surge in Ukrainian oil refinery attacks sparks Russian fuel shortages - BBC ↗
Multiple incumbents already cover adjacent ground: Energy Aspects has a paid crude-oil geopolitical risk index, BlackRock and IISS have geopolitical risk dashboards, IIR Energy tracks energy projects, and Caspian Policy Center already operates a 'LIVE MAP of Russian Refineries Hit'.Energy Aspects' crude oil geopolitical risk index ↗LIVE MAP of Russian Refineries Hit: Ukrainian Drone Strikes Boost Caspian Energy ↗IIR Energy | Trusted Data & Global Energy Market Intelligence ↗
Energy desks clearly pay premium prices (Bloomberg Terminal ~$2,665/mo), supporting a paid niche add-on around $500-2K/yr/seat, but free alternatives (Caspian map) and bundled coverage in terminals cap pricing power.Bloomberg Terminal Pricing 2026: $31,980/year per seat ↗LIVE MAP of Russian Refineries Hit: Ukrainian Drone Strikes Boost Caspian Energy ↗
The Russian fuel crisis is documented through 2026 and refinery attacks have been a recurring global pattern (Abqaiq, etc.), but demand spikes with active conflict and attenuates if the war de-escalates.2025-2026 Russian fuel crisis - Wikipedia ↗
Damage attribution is noisy and contested (Carnegie notes claims of '38% capacity knocked out' are likely overstated), and correlating attacks to real-time commodity prices requires expensive market data feeds and significant NLP/geocoding pipelines.Have Ukrainian Drones Really Knocked Out 38% of Russia's Oil Refining Capacity? ↗